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Hits and Exit Wounds

Posted by VenturePopulist On December - 17 - 2009

Hits and Exit Wounds

 

I have noticed that VCs tend to talk to the public and with their peers more about their home runs than their strike outs. Angel investors, on the other hand, prefer to relentlessly revisit their pain—often comparing their battle scars like veteran samurai. Probably because angels put up their own capital. Because they truly do eat their own cooking it’s harder for angels to forget their fallen soufflés.

 

VCs achieve their highs from the opium of OPM…so even a bad trip is still a free trip.

 

I recently had lunch with an inveterate venture investor (aka “angel”) whom I had co-invested with in a biotech, as well as, a med-tech company, several years back. Our conversation inevitably turned to peck at our past portfolios.

 

The biotech company was a true home run—a high-multiple exit realized in a 2004 IPO. (When was the last time you saw biotech, high-multiple and IPO in the same sentence?)

 

But, rather than relishing in a reminiscence of our raison d’être, we chose to get muddy in the mire of our miss—the medical device company that (nearly seven years later) was still trudging along with neither an exit, nor a write-off in sight.

 

There is the baneful scenario–five or more years in an illiquid private investment that just keeps rolling over but never plays dead, and, there is the painful scenario–a company running profitable for several years straight but no IPO, acquisition or distribution on the near horizon.

 

Two questions dominated our discourse. First, what would become of the med-tech investment? And secondly, what can we do differently as investors to avoid non-outcome outcomes in the future?

 

My most previous venture ovation opined, “There is very little that is binary about venture investing outcomes. It is not just feast or famine…outcomes are diverse and asymmetric. You can lose your entire investment, just lose a portion, break even, receive periodic distributions producing double-digit IRRs or achieve exits at 5X, 10X, 20X multiples or greater…”

 

That list of outcomes would be just fine if it was indeed comprehensive, but I employed some autistic license. The reality of the absence of binary outcomes in private venture investment occasionally includes the potential absence of any outcome at all.

 

In an amusing piece “10 Exits”, Angel Capital Association’s chairman John Huston further parses this purgatory. He evokes the venture vernacular “Zombie” as “a walking dead venture that will never become a great company, nor will it die so I can declare the loss.”

 

There are a number of ways to euthanize a zombie but what do you do about the investment that Huston calls, “My Grandkids’ Companya company that is successful but there’s no exit in sight”? (“Maybe it will occur after my grandchildren inherit the portfolio.”)

 

That is the second question, and yes, there are methods that an investor can apply at the outset of the investment that mandate distributions from profitable private companies.

 

I have developed some effective term sheet and funding mechanisms that enhance the optionality of a private investment’s outcomes that avoid inadvertently gifting your grandchildren. I will share them in upcoming posts. They are the byproduct of my own experiences, and as you know, experience is what you get when you were looking for something else.

 

 

Album:   Hits and Exit Wounds, Alabama 3, 2008

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Playing The Angel

Posted by VenturePopulist On September - 28 - 2009

Playing the Angel, Depeche Mode, 2005

As my career has been largely devoted to the intersection of money management and venture finance, I am no stranger to the independent RIA universe.

 

I have worked with dozens of wealth managers and family offices that regularly evaluate and allocate to private venture investments. Although they represent a fraction of the RIA universe, they are invariably among the most successful of their peers. These progressive wealth managers represent the primary audience of this blog.

 

 

I regularly advocate that RIAs that possess the requisite mandate, the means and the mindset should embrace private venture investments–for the benefit of their client’s portfolios, as well as, their practices. Yet, the majority of independent wealth managers should best leave this sandbox to VCs and angel investors.

 

Does your advisory practice possess the rationale and the resources to advise clients in start-up, early-stage and other private venture investments?

 

Your advisory practice may be uniquely qualified, if you consider:

 


 

  • You embrace Modern Portfolio Theory.  Despite its flaws, MPT advocates diversification into non-correlated asset classes. One-off investments in private ventures are distinctly non-correlated to broader asset classes and major market indices and have exhibited less correlation during negative black swan events.


 

  • You possess the proper due diligence skills.  In addition to those skills you also posess the doubting disposition that is critical in evaluating private investments. The skills that advisors have developed in the course of investment manager evaluation are relevant and applicable to the private equity universe. Moreover, your experiences have taught you to be cynical and skeptical of assumptions regarding future performance.


 

  • You are an entrepreneur.  As an independent wealth manager have chosen to compete in a highly-competitive, low margin industry. Your personal experiences should render you more prone to recognize the prerequisite personality traits of a successful entrepreneur…de rigueur in the executive team due dilly process. You also recognize the mission-critical elements beyond the strengths of the management team that determine the probability of successful enterprise.


 

  • You understand finance.  As a stock, sector and industry analyst you know your way around balance sheets, cash flow, valuation issues and income statements. I am frequently surprised at the number of professional private venture investors that have little understanding of business and finance.


 

  • You possess both an awareness of regulatory issues and a fiduciary responsibility that is consistent with the best practices of seasoned angel investors and VCs.


 

  • You are networked. Beyond your practice, you have access to an expansive network of tools, resources and expertise that are essential to evaluating new technologies, industry sectors, new business models, intellectual property and other elements of private investment. Your industry colleagues offer incomparable access to the analysts, research, legal and domain expertise that is required in the course of successful private investing.


 

  • You have access to the critical resources.  As an independent wealth manager you have enviable access to the two most important resources of private investment….investor capital and deal flow. Your HNW clients most likely became HNW clients as a result of their own ventures in private investment. Serial entrepreneurs and HNW investors are an excellent ongoing source of deal flow.


 

 

Advisors that affirmatively identify which each of these traits may have the mandate and the means to expose their client’s portfolios to the asset class that has historically created the vast majority of our nation’s private wealth and can dramatically differentiate your practice from its peers.

 

More advisors should explore asset allocation beyond the lame limitations of highly-correlated asset classes, stale style boxes and pointless pie charts.

 

 

Album:    Playing the Angel, Depeche Mode, 2005

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